In Other News · United States · Markets

Source: Axios

The threat of a blue tsunami is bearing down on President Trump's Washington, with virtually every major indicator forecasting a Democratic rout in Tuesday's elections.Why it matters: Expectations for the midterms have soared so high that some Democrats fear disappointment is inevitable, particularly if the party falls short of winning the Senate — a prize that seemed beyond reach just months ago.By the numbers: Five key metrics help distill the extraordinary consensus taking shape on the eve of the midterms.🔮 95% and 80%: The probability of Democrats winning the House and Senate, respectively, according to election forecaster Nate Silver, whose model projects an average gain of 25 House seats.Silver says Democrats could now withstand a modest polling error and still capture the Senate — a remarkable cushion given the GOP's history of outperforming polls in the Trump era.🗺️ 7 for 7: Democrats lead in every Senate battleground state surveyed in the final New York Times/Siena polls, including by 11 points in Michigan and seven in Texas.Trump carried six of those seven states in 2024, though five of the Democratic leads — Maine (+6), Kansas (+5), Ohio (+5), Alaska (+2) and Iowa (+1) — remain within the polls' margins of error.🏛️...