Summary
House races in Iowa, Pennsylvania, Washington, Michigan and more are shifting in Democrats' direction, according to a Friday update from the closely watched Cook Political Report.Why it matters: The GOP's midterm outlook was already bleak, anchored by an unpopular war and high fuel prices. But staving off a blue resurgence, despite heavy spending, is looking increasingly complicated as Election Day approaches.Driving the news: Cook's new moves put the likely midterm outcome at Democrats picking up nine to 19 seats, a range of 224 to 234. The shifts include:Five seats — in Iowa, Pennsylvania and Washington — moving from toss ups to leaning toward Democrats, including Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks' (R-Iowa) tough rematch race against Democrat Christina Bohannan.Cook also nudged four races — in Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina and Virginia — from leaning toward Republicans to toss-ups. That's good news for Rep. Don Davis (D-N.C.), whose district was warped by mid-decade redistricting.Republicans' hold on other races in Kentucky, Maine, Pennsylvania, Arkansas and Indiana slipped, shifting them to Lean R or Likely R. Meanwhile, Democrats' hold on Nevada, New York and Nebraska races tightened.Friction point: President Trump is crisscrossing the country to campaign for GOP candidates. But with the midterms serving as a...